Austin-Powers-For-PM: From just about everything I am seeing, there is every expectation that this will show up by the 17th.
However, we know that what you expect and what you get can be two very different things. If this doesn't show up by the 17th, then that day will be very telling.
If I remember last year, they did the UNSC meeting on December 15th, and then waited about 2 weeks to tell us that Iraq would remain in Chapter 7. If they get a definitive answer on the 17th, then an RV has to come pretty much right then and there.
If they wait, then we see what happens between the 17th and the 2nd of January.
IMO, this is NOT a done deal. I think that it's a done deal in terms of what everybody agrees needs to happen quickly before the 17th, but if it doesn't get accomplished, then the U.N. just very well may fail to release Iraq from Chap. 7 in order to hold the gun to their head.
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They lose a lot of impact if they let Iraq out of Chap. 7 without everything accomplished. Hence that is why you see the frantic activities to get political issues settled, IMF and UN at the Central Bank, Kuwait and Iraq final negotiations, etc, etc.
I really believe the UNSC has every intention to release them from Chapter 7 this time, or they wouldn't have dropped a whole boatload of banking specialists on top of the CBI.
So it's apparent that the IMF and CBI will not release the RV until they absolutely know for sure that the UNSC will vote to release them, and that won't happen until the members of the UNSC know that the linchpin of this very global event have played by the rules.
Now the RV will certainly happen before Chapter 7 release. So if Chap. 7 is not lifted, then the window becomes from January 2nd to June 15th, 2013, with a focus on the end of the SBA with the IMF in the 3rd week of February.
In the words of the immortal American philosopher Forrest Gump, "And that's all I have to say about that."