10-31-12 Austin-Powers-For-PM: Well here is my theory of what is going on. I may be totally off the mark, but it’s intriguing nonetheless.
If you take a look at Shabs background, nothing in that background screams “Politician.” He is a classic technician with enough leadership skills developed at the IMF to run a country’s Central Bank. He is personally well off, is extremely educated, and has absolutely ZERO political ambition other than finishing the job at the CBI and enjoying his retirement on a Swiss or Florida golf course.
People like that are not typically prone to corruption. Now if you take a look at Maliki's background, everything in his DNA screams corruption. He has been a street fighting political from day one, and has never loss those tendencies. He only knows either threats or payoffs to get his agenda moving forward. (take a look at each others bio's on Wikipedia. They couldn't be more opposite)
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So do you really think that Shabs was putting his hand into the financial cookie jar when he is programmed NOT to do that? I just don't think so. So why would an extensive investigation reveal just the opposite? This theory may come straight from a political intrigue novel, but I think it holds weight.
We've known that Maliki has always wanted to have 100% control of Iraq, and he has been stymied at every turn. However he has enough power to gum up the political system, and has enough paid off friends to keep him nice and comfy in his P.M. position. So what are the PTB's to do to make him go away? Why of course, play to his greed and power.
Maliki knows that if he controls the CBI, he controls all financial purse strings in Iraq, and thus can dole out money like some out of control Chicago politician buying influence. But of course the IMF, WB, CBI know that too.
So starting last year, Shabs deliberately starts doing fishy things that calls attention to his activities at the CBI. Maliki finds out and figures if he can nail Shabs on corruption charges, he can have him removed, and shazzam he's like Skeletor screaming "I Have The Power." (since he has the money). He slowly investigates this over the past year just to make sure that this is really legit corruption and not a trap....convinced that this is all real he finally lowers the boom on Shabibi.
Little does Maliki know that this is a massive trap. The supposed missing funds have been swept into an account that is actually owned by the CIA, but is put into the name of one of Maliki's shell organizations without him knowing it. He is brought up to Parliament smug in the fact that he is bullet proof, and then suddenly the auditors who audited the CBI then reveal that they have found the money, in Maliki's account.
They then reveal information (probably manufactured) that Maliki framed Shabibi all along. The poo poo hits the fan in the press, he has no way to defend himself, and the no confidence vote comes so fast and furious that even Vin Diesel wouldn't have know what hit him. Bam!!! Maliki goes away from his own doing, Shabs gets the CBI back (and retires a few months later with the honor from the world he deserves).
So why do I think this is plausible? Look at the low-key, passive reaction from the opposition. Look at the IMF's almost deafening silence on all this. Look at Shabibi's somewhat mellow reaction in an interview. Also note that today there have been press reports that Shabibi is coming back to Iraq to face the justice system there. He would NEVER do that unless he has the goods on Maliki and can light him up like a torch in open court.
Look at the timing of this before the supposed January 2013 release of the lower denoms and right in the middle of the effort to get a National Conference done.
Also, the PTB's, just could not just let Maliki take the most important country in an international currency adjustment and run it into the ground. Yet they could not make it look like they took any direction in any way.
So they get Shabs on board, leak just enough info to Barzani, Allawi, and Nujafi to clue them in (without complete details) and start the ball rolling.
Ok, there it is. It may sound like a James Bond novel, but at this point just about anything is possible.