Update: I’m going to do kind of an “evolving Blog post” (throughout the day) for today – SO STAY TUNED…
I’m also going to launch headlong into some pretty serious “speculation” based on what I believe to be happening… ;)
Recent insider thinking was that we might see an “interrogation” of Maliki on Thurs, Sat or maybe Sun then we could hear about the outcome on Monday or Tuesday. If they delay a day or two past Thursday – it isn’t surprising. Especially with Maliki intentionally interrupting the work of Parliament by taking all security measures away.
Not surprising they may delay Parliament’s first session – that’s about what we’ve been thinking…
This business with Maliki “lifting the barriers” might buy him a day or two – but in the end it will backfire on him. If he lets this go to a vote – they won’t forget.
There is a “full court press” on in the media by Maliki to spruce up his image…it won’t help though. Did you guys hear he bribed ALL the journalists who covered his recent trip to Kirkuk?? They got “promised” Gov’t land grants…(which doesn’t mean much – his word is pretty much useless).
Read More Link on Right
There is a very broad base of support for the removal of Maliki. His days are truly numbered. Maliki is a lot worse off than the media is letting on.
Just because Talibani and 10 or 12 MP’s took bribes doesn’t mean there won’t be a vote.
The bribery only slowed things down a little bit…
There is rumor out now that Talibani may resign (he had already turned a letter of resignation in to Barzani – to keep on file). This would not shock me at all. If Talibani resigns we may get an immediate vote – because Najafi is in line to send the letter to himself (in Parliament) then he officiates over the process.
There are all kinds of meetings and “back door dealings” going on to try and get a “last-mintue” deal done. Maliki’s three only options are:
1) To fully implement all previous agreements – his opponents not only don’t believe him to be sincere, they aren’t crazy about letting him stay at all.
2) Resign just prior to an official vote in Parliament (which is a very strong possiblity)
3) Try to fight it – through the end of a vote in Parliament. He may well do this – but if he does, he knows the “prognosis” for winning is bleak and what comes after a loss is even more bleak.
*** Current News ***
ERBIL, Kurdistan Region— Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri Maliki’s rivals are determined to unseat him, and they have created three committees — ministerial, parliamentary and legal — to fulfill the task after their attempt to withdraw confidence through President Jalal Talabani failed.
The committees are attempting to bring Maliki before parliament for questioning.
Ministerial committee members include deputy PM Rozh Nuri Shawais, Muhammad Alawi from the Iraqiya bloc and Muhammad Daraji from the Sadr Movement. The parliamentary committee includes all three political factions that oppose Maliki in parliament, and the legal committee comprises six members, two from each of the three political factions.
Ahmad Masari, an MP from the Iraqiya bloc, says, “The task of the committees is to prepare a case to summon Maliki to parliament for questioning.”
Masari says that the security situation is enough to use against Maliki and withdraw confidence from him.
“Maliki alone is responsible (for security), being the commander in chief.” Masari says.
Amir Kanani, an official from the Sadr Movement, told Rudaw, “The committees will collect legal evidence to use against Maliki when he attends parliament for questioning.”
The idea of bringing Maliki to parliament for questioning came after Talabani rejected the call for a vote of no confidence. The office of the presidency issued a statement saying, “The number of votes isn’t enough to withdraw confidence from Maliki.”
The presidential statement also said, “The president is not going to call for a vote of no confidence for four reasons: First, the majority of the Council of Ministries is Shia and they must be convinced through negotiation to change their representative as prime minister. Second, the president will not stand against the Shia majority’s rights, with all due respect to the Sadr Movement who represents a handful of Shias in parliament.”
The Iraqiya bloc and the Sadr Movement told Kurdistan Region President Massoud Barzani they would not allow the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) to participate in the committees unless they finalize their position on the issue. Last week, the PUK political bureau decided to share the same position as the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP).
Regarding PUK’s new attitude, Amir Kinani, a representative of Muqtada Sadr, says, “The PUK told us they will support withdrawing confidence from Maliki by bringing him to parliament for questioning.”
Khalid Shwani, chair of the parliamentary legal committee and a senior leader in the PUK, told Rudaw, “PUK’s position is clear. We unite our decision with the other Kurdish political parties.”
The issue of withdrawing confidence from Maliki has created differences between the PUK and KDP – Kurdistan Region’s two main political parties. But Fuad Hussein, the Kurdistan president’s chief of staff, said the differences over Maliki will not affect the Kurdish unity.
“We, as Kurds, will not bring any external issues into Kurdistan or damage our unity for anybody outside,” he said.
Hussein added that Kurdish political groups would solve their issues internally.
The Iraqiya bloc, a Sunni-majority political faction, is disappointed in Talabani’s position. Haidar Mulla, an Iraqiya spokesperson says, “We know that Talabani will not send a vote of no confidence against Maliki to parliament.”
Regarding Talabani’s letter to the leaders of Iraqiya, the Kurdistani Alliance and the Sadr Movement, in which he threatened resignation if forced to back the vote, the Iraqiya spokesperson said, “The thing that is important to us is PUK’s decision and they support withdrawing confidence from Maliki.”
Ayad Alawi, head of the Iraqiya bloc and Iraq’s former prime minister, previously announced that withdrawing confidence from Maliki had been Talabani’s idea in the first place. The presidential office dismissed the claim, saying, “Alawi knows too well who suggested the idea first.”
Mulla also insists that the suggestion was Talabani’s.
He says, “The subject of withdrawing confidence from Maliki was Talabani’s suggestion during the Erbil meeting at the end of April. It is available in writing.” He also said, “Those, who doubt Alawi’s words can take a look at the document of the Erbil meeting and know for sure that it was his suggestion.”
This is an English translation – so no “secret decoder ring” needed. I normally don’t put whole articles in – but this one is vitally important. I don’t care who took what bribe (Talibani or 10-12 MP’s) it won’t stop what is coming. He might have slowed things down a bit – but there is still a very broad base of support for removing Maliki.
*** Rumor Comments *** June 20th!!
If you find a crazy rumor or have a question about something you’ve heard – bring it to one of the Mods over at www.dinarupdates.com and we’ll use it here. Thanks!!