I am going to try and give a general outline of some of the things happening in the next week or so as well as some of the items we are looking for. Hopefully this will be helpful. Please remember that this is IMO only.
Yesterday- April 10th- budget posted. Today- April 11th - Budget is effective except that it is a holiday and therefore will not be open until Sat/ Sun (April 13/14) the next business day. By doing this they can effectively mask the rate until the 14th possibly going into the 15th.
Which brings us to the other item for today. The UN operational rates. They are posted today to be effective on the 15th. However, they are not necessarily updated prior to the event.
So will they or won't they? We don't know. Sat the 13th- early elections for the military and police. But they haven't been paid because the budget has not been opened. How will that affect things? Interesting to watch and see.
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Sun the 14th- First business day after the budget being effective. So the budget is now open. Will they raise the rate? A day to watch. If they don't will they do it on Mon the 15th?
Once again we don't know. So what do we start watching for ? LDs, people being paid, contracts being signed and paid. This will all give necessary information that the teams are looking for.
Will it happen this weekend into Mon? No one knows. But the odds are favorable when you factor in that Pharmaceutical Contract that was postponed into next week, so that they could use dinars to pay it, the fact that they need to pay their people, and most importantly general elections on the 20th.
Anyway these are just some of my recollections of what is occurring and why. Please check your own notes to verify and correct if necessary. I hope that by putting this into written form it may clarify things for you. We are close.
I noticed that people were asking about the DFI funds. Let me see if I can help a little with that as well. Once again this is just my opinion. We need to go back to Feb 23rd and the expiration of the Standby Agreement. When this expired this triggered something that everyone is forgetting about.
The payments of their debts must be started within 90 days, and in their own currency. For that to happen they must be international. When does the 90 days expire? By design May 22.
If they do not become international and start repaying their debts on May 23rd all assets and funds held in other countries become eligible for lawsuits and seizure.
So while CH VII is the reward, the DFI Funds protection is the big stick. Will they renew the protections? IMO only if they do what they are supposed to. This is just my interpretation of things, please do your homework to see if you agree