Post From Peoples Dinar By Maynard57
I don't mean to sound condescending, but you should all read this a couple of times. It's a reprint outline of the genesis of the Plan for Iraq and is a really, really good article for reviewing some of the basic premises of our investment.
Word to the wise: stay strong on the fundamentals, understand the basics of what we're doing and interpret everything else you hear or read from that perspective.
BIG kudoage to Tony Breitling, for having the good sense to paste this up. That guy isn't the schmooziest, but he cuts to the quick if ever a quick needs a good trim.
Let me offer a basic XOXOXO game plan for the plan:
1. Currency SWAP - This plan was grafted from the Marshall Plan in Europe. We DID NOT just pump palates of USD to Iraq to run the Country. We did a currency swap.
The new IQD got delivered, but we traded USD to keep some at the rate when it was shipped. Ultimately -we win, they win. Get it?
2. IQD rate needed to be held LOW. Even in this article, they tell you that the IQD started in the early going to get popular. Popularity means velocity. Velocity means increased rate.
At the time, they DID NOT want that. Partly, for the reasons the US flattened their exchange rate in the first place: to inhibit terrorist cadres from buying their toys and funding more rape, pillage and carnage.
Reason number 2: If you're not ready to open up for business, clearly not ready to enter the international forum economically, you don't have to worry yourselves about GATT strictures and the lot..
But if you are smart, you will use this toilet paper era to rebuild your infrasture on the <<<<CHEAP>>>> People, that is just exactly what this really thoughtful plan envisioned. It makes wonderful economic sense.
Now, Read this thing, no less than 3 times and then read the news with this perspective.
You just have to understand, and Tony B. keeps pounding on this: There is no dates or rates we know of. We don't need this kind of **. We don't need to Maliki bash It's all decidedly beside the point.
There is no such thing as intel. But there is a Plan and you best figure that out and spend your time trying to discern what it is and follow along like all seasoned INVESTORS.
HISTORY OF THE “NEW IRAQI DINAR” Dollars For Dinars
How shipping tons of U.S. currency to Iraq remade its economy—and was roundly criticized all the same. Good decision, bad press.” – By John B. Taylor
In February, the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform held a hearing that criticized the decision to ship U.S. currency into Iraq just after Saddam Hussein’s government fell.
As the committee’s chairman, Henry Waxman (D-California), put it in his opening statement, “Who in their right mind would send 360 tons of cash into a war zone?”
His criticism attracted wide attention, feeding antiwar sentiment and even providing material for comedians. But a careful investigation of the facts behind the currency shipment paints a far different picture.
The currency that was shipped into Iraq in the days after the fall of Saddam Hussein’s government was part of a successful financial operation that had been carefully planned months before the invasion.
Its aims were to prevent a financial collapse in Iraq, put the financial system on a firm footing, and pave the way for a new Iraqi currency. Contrary to the criticism that such currency shipments were ill advised or poorly monitored, this financial plan was carried out with precision and was a complete success.
The plan, which had two stages, was designed to work in Iraq’s cash economy, in which checks or electronic funds transfers were virtually unknown and shipments of tons of cash were commonplace.
In the first stage, the United States would pay Iraqi government employees and pensioners in American dollars. These were obtained from Saddam Hussein’s accounts in American banks, which were frozen after he attacked Kuwait in 1990 and amounted to about $1.7 billion.
Because the dollar is a strong and reliable currency, bringing in dollars would create financial stability until a new Iraqi governing body could be established and design a new currency.
The second stage of the plan was to print a new Iraqi currency for which Iraqis could exchange their old dinars.
One of the most successful and carefully planned operations of the war has been held up to criticism and ridicule.
The final details of the plan were reviewed in the White House Situation Room by President Bush and the National Security Council on March 12, 2003. I attended that meeting.
Treasury Secretary John Snow opened the presentation with a series of slides. “As soon as control over the Iraqi government is established,” the first slide read, we plan to “use United States dollars to pay civil servants and pensioners.
Later, depending on the situation on the ground, we would decide about the new currency.”
Another slide indicated that we could ship $100 million in small denominations to Baghdad on one week’s notice. President Bush approved the plan with the understanding that we would review the options for a new Iraqi currency later, when we knew the situation on the ground.
To carry out the first stage of the plan, President Bush issued an executive order on March 20, 2003, instructing U.S. banks to relinquish Saddam’s frozen dollars.
From that money, 237.3 tons in $1, $5, $10, and $20 bills were sent to Iraq. During April, U.S. Treasury officials in Baghdad worked with the military and Iraqi Finance Ministry officials—who had painstakingly kept the payroll records despite the looting of the ministry—to make sure the right people were paid.
The Iraqis extensively documented each recipient of a pension or paycheck. Treasury officials who watched over the payment process in Baghdad in those first few weeks reported a culture of good record keeping.
On April 29, Jay Garner, the retired lieutenant general who headed the reconstruction effort in Iraq at the time, reported to Washington that the payments had lifted the mood of people in Baghdad during those first few confusing days. Even more important, a collapse of the financial system was avoided.
This success paved the way for the second stage of the plan. In only a few months, 27 planeloads (in Boeing 747 jumbo jets) of new Iraqi currency were flown into Iraq from seven printing plants around the world. Armed convoys delivered the currency to 240 sites around the country.
From there, it was distributed to 25 million Iraqis in exchange for their old dinars, which were then dyed, collected into trucks, shipped to incinerators, and burned or simply buried.
The new currency proved very popular. It provided a sound underpinning for the financial system and remains strong, appreciating against the dollar even in the past few months. Hence, the second part of the currency plan was also a success.
The story of the currency plan is one of several that involved large sums of cash. For example, just before the war, Saddam stole $1 billion from the Iraqi central bank. American soldiers found that Iraqi money in his palaces and shipped it to a base in Kuwait, where the U.S. Army’s 336th Finance Command kept it safe. To avoid any appearance of wrongdoing, American soldiers in Kuwait wore pocket less shorts and T-shirts whenever they counted the Iraqi money.
A 2003 presidential order instructed U.S. banks to hand over Saddam Hussein’s frozen dollars. From that money, 237.3 tons in $1, $5, $10, and $20 bills was shipped to Iraq. Later, U.S. forces used the found cash to build schools and hospitals, and to repair roads and bridges.
General David Petraeus has described these projects as more successful than the broader reconstruction effort. But that wasn’t the only source of dollars. Because the new Iraqi dinar was so popular, the central bank bought billions of U.S. dollars to keep the dinar from appreciating too much.
As a result, billions in cash accumulated in the vaults of the central bank. Later, with American help, the Iraqi central bank deposited these billions at the New York Federal Reserve Bank, where they could earn interest.
Finally, when Iraq started to earn dollars selling oil, the United States transferred the cash revenue to the Finance Ministry, where it was used to finance government operations, including salaries and reconstruction.
Many of these transfers occurred in 2004, long after the financial stabilization operation had concluded. Iraqi Finance Ministry officials had already demonstrated that they were serious about keeping the controls they had in place.
The 360 tons mentioned by Henry Waxman includes these transfers as well as the 237.3 tons shipped in 2003 during the stabilization.
The new Iraqi currency proved to be very popular. It gave a sound underpinning to the financial system and remains strong. One of the most successful and carefully planned operations of the war has been held up for criticism and even ridicule.
As these facts show, praise rather than ridicule is appropriate: praise for the brave experts in the U.S. Treasury who went to Iraq in April 2003 and established a working Finance Ministry and central bank, praise for the Iraqis in the Finance Ministry who carefully preserved payment records in the face of looting, praise for the American soldiers in the 336th Finance Command who safeguarded the found money, and, yes, even praise for planning and follow-through back in the United States.
This essay appeared in the New York Times on February 27, 2007. Available from the Hoover Press is Strategic Foreign Assistance: Civil Society in International Security, by A. Lawrence Chickering, Isobel Coleman, P. Edward Haley, and Emily Vargas-Baron.
To order, call 800.935.2882 or visit www.hooverpress.org.
John B. Taylor is the Bowen H. and Janice Arthur McCoy Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and the Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics at Stanford University.
He was previously the director of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and was founding director of Stanford’s Introductory Economics Center.
He has a long and distinguished record of public service. Among other roles, he served as a member of the President’s Council of Economic Advisors from 1989 to 1991 and as Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs from 2001 to 2005.
He is currently a member of the California Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors.