(Thank you George for sending this so Recaps can post it.)
UU6853 – “Going Ahead with “full” National Reconciliation ” by Mnt Goat
Guten Tag everyone,
I could write a book about this week’s events.
The information is pouring out of Iraq and it is very informative only many do not know the news and don’t really care to spread REAL news to you anyhow. All they look for is an ounce of unverified rumors to spread their hype. They are only worried about bank screen rates, talks in the mosques or planned celebrations in Baghdad.
Today I am going to talk mostly about the National Reconciliation since this is the basis and underlying foundation for just about every reform and effort being taken so far during Abadi’s administration.
But also we must not forget about the distractions of fighting of ISIS / DAASH and the economic crisis as these are obstacles to the needed reforms which are impediments causing delays and stalling.
However, in the long run we may have to wait a bit longer but as time passes progress in being made in all directions.
Instead of discouragement we all should be very happy because time has passed and the situation has changed. Remember those somber Maliki days? We only think it should have RV’s already because we hear this over and over again on their daily dose of hype.
What I am going to show you today connects the events we are now witnessing and how they are lining up for the final product of the RV in the near future.
No! - The plane has not yet landed and the pilot is just wating to get out of the cockpit…..lol….lol…(how foolish)
No! – The RV has not yet happened and we are not just waiting for an announcement…lol…lol…(how foolish).
Again today’s news is all good. I recommend you print it, sit back and relax, fluff up those pillows in your favorite chair. You might even want to get a nice hot cup of coffee or tea. This is going to be long read today.
Today is Saturday January 9th 2016 and yes we have ended the first week of the new year already and still no RV.
Oh- but it was supposed to RV last Tues or Weds according to some rumored bank memo in Canada…really? A memo that was never seen or verified, yet the rumor was spread anyhow. Really? This was actually said on one of these so called “intel” calls.
So now we are seeing a network of misinformation, rumors and rubbish coming out of Canada. BE AWARE!
You wouldn’t mind it so much and can ignore it, except these so called intel “gurus” get this information too and actually use it on their calls as intel. Really?
So on with today’s news.
Update: Needed Laws
Parliament has been on recess since Dec 16th. This week they told us that parliament will discuss and vote on many important laws in the coming session after the legislation recess ends on Jan 19th, including the General Amnesty law, the law on the Prohibition of the Baath Party and the Federal Court Act.
Also good news on corruption in that they told us they are asking for permission to interrogate a number of officials including defense minister Khaled al-Obeidi , transport minister Bayan Jabar and requesting the judiciary to lift immunity on these MPs.
PARLIAMENTARY LEGAL ANNOUNCE THE COMPLETION OF MOST OF THE LAWS ENTRUSTED TO THEM
07:20:15 2016-01-07|(Voice of Iraq) –
Baghdad Legal Committee of Parliament announced the completion of most of the laws entrusted to it through the chapters legislatures past.
The committee member said Sadiq frankincense that "the Legal Committee was able to complete most of the important laws pertaining to the Iraqi street by putting touches on the laws that have not experienced a political consensus and bring in the views.
"He continued chewing gum that" the Commission is working on the completion of the Federal Court Act, the Justice and Accountability and the prohibition of the Baath Party and the law of oil and gas, what you need from a political consensus in the House of Representatives.
"It is said that the House of Representatives, was able to approve the Martyrs and the Law Foundation Law budget and a set of important laws.
WOW! Iraq is really under pressure to complete all of these remaining important laws. You know these laws. These are all the ones I have been talking about so long. Oh- boy this is very good news and we all should be very excited. Why?
I can tell you that Amnesty is part of the National Reconciliation and without there can be no finalization on this process without Amnesty. Remember the National Reconciliation is really the renamed “Erbil” agreement of 2008-2009.
For those of you that are new to Mnt Goat news letters I will explain this again for you since I feel for you and once I too was new to this investment.
So the “Erbil” agreement provisions were rolled over and renamed the “National Reconciliation” effort in 2014 and there are a couple provisions I now need to address to everyone and once again help you tie together all these needed laws together.
I am doing this so you can see the importance of them and how close we are to having a “full” reconciliation.
First I must apologize since in a past news letter I stated this reconciliation was done and I could not be more wrong. This was another case of listening to someone who I trusted and thus “assumed” he knew what he was talking about. I was wrong and come to you today to set the record straight. I am not perfect and so I also make mistakes.
It has always been know there will be no financial sovereignty for Iraq (no RV) unless they implement the National Reconciliation. This is not up for any discussion and is one of the given facts we must accept and learn to live with. The sooner we accept it we can move on to now learning what it takes to get “full” reconciliation and then to see a possible timeline for it. But remember too this alone is alone in issues to resolve prior to an RV.
So if I was to group the issues of the National Reconciliation effort I would put them into three main areas of concern:
1)The government must “fully” implement the new Iraqi constitution (need the govt to be fully formed).
Why is this important to us?
Sometimes we forget that Iraq was a post war occupied country and with the help of the USA they wrote a new constitution to implement their newly found republic democracy. This new constitution is no good just on paper. So unless it is implemented then how will the rest of the world know Iraq is serious about their democracy? This implementation is being used as the gauge by which the developed nations are observing Iraq .
This is important because this must include implementing Article 140, HCL and especially the Federation Council (renamed now to Federal Council). The constitution also specifies provisions of the Judicial branch and so we see serious reforms too needed in this area
This was all supposed to be accomplished by the end of the 1st Iraq Parliamentary session year ago. It is now the year 2016 and they are now entering the 3rd parliamentary session and yet they still have not yet implemented these agreements. This was supposed to be Maliki’s primary job in his last 4 year term. Yes – he had 4 years to do it and could not. We also can’t lose site of the fact that the new prime minister Abadi was also given the same mandate as Maliki in order to allow him to form his government and he too is now over a year in his office and still no “fully” formed government and completed National Reconciliation. So there is extreme pressure for him to act.
2) Part of the National Reconciliation also includes the General Amnesty law (letting political prisoners out who were wrongfully accused of crimes without due process)
In reality these were political prisoners who spoke out against the Maliki government and so they found a way to lock them up to silence them. This reconciliation process will release these prisoners and sort out the ones who should remain in jail (justifiably) and those who should be immediately released. There are thousands of prisoners that fit into this category. To do this they will need a law and this is the Amnesty law.
Iraq just recently told us they fully plan to pass and implement this law in early February. This is a WOW news since we have been waiting for four years for this to be done. Will they really do it now? I believe they are now sincere at it this time.
3) Another part of the National Reconciliation is the “Decentralization” of the government. What does this mean? Decentralization the government is allowing the provinces self governing powers. Oh – but it is much more than that. It is an insurance policy against future corruption and dictatorship by the Baghdad government.
We have witnessed the implementation of this decentralization process over the last summer months (remember?). The first job of each of the new Abadi ministers was to supervise the rollover of the ministries to the provinces. Remember some were late and they had to play catchup. This effort was concluded late but by mid October 2015 all but the National Guard part of it was completed. This law is still being held up for political reasons and the careful timing. But I assure you it too is coming soon.
For those that do not know, the National Guard law is the means to accomplish this effort and is very political and probably one of the most resisted and controversial of all the reform laws. Essentially it will take all private militias and outlaw them (this includes the occupying Iranian Kud forces). These militias will be given a chance to roll into a provincial Guard unit to be legal or be elliminated. So this process will identify who the real enemy is as they will use the rule “If you are not With Us you are Against Us” to sort them all out, then to fight those apposing the new law.
Remember back to 2011-2014 whenever we heard about all the daily bombings in the streets or mosques in Iraq? Many said there will never be peace in Iraq. I jumped on those who made these statements since they are very short sited. I then said man can accomplish anything if only he puts his mind to it. Remember man is made in the likeness of God and God is good. Peace is ALWAYS an option and is the natural state of mankind not war. War is brought on by evil entities that thrive and survive by the misery of others and war certainly is miserly on the planet earth.
Who do you think was instigating these daily bombings? Many of you thought these bombings to be random acts of madness and terrorism. Really? Random - hell they were ! Just shows how much you really did not know about Iraq and the overall plans for the country. Do you think the citizens accept this violence everyday? How would you like to see your children grow up and be threatened with this constant everyday violence? So the citizens know they desire peace and if there is a will there is a way.
These bombings were well thought our reprisals acted by the Maliki and his goons using their private militias. When the USA army left at the end of 2011 Maliki and his goons saw this as an opportunity to resurge the Saddam Hussein mentality and try to take of the country. They instigated this terror (bombings and killings) anytime they did not get their way politically. They did this to show parliament and the people who was really in charge. So do you see how this is all so interconnected with getting rid of the private armies and how this change can affect the political side too.
Now can you see that these men were the perpetrators of terrorism in their own country? These were acts of treason. These bombing didn’t just happen as they were well thought out by the highest level leaders of Iraq perpetrated on the people and any political opponents. This is why you can’t have private armies / militias running around self subservient to politicians. So part of the Reconciliation effort is to clean up all these private militias and you can now see why this is important.
They already passed the Parties law and this law makes it illegal to affiliate with any militia or terrorist group if you are in a political party. Since politicians are associated with a party they too can not be affiliated with these organizations. Not only can’t they then hold a political office, they can be convicted of terrorism since it is also a provision in the new tTerrorism law. Gottem coming and gottem going…lol…You must be totally impartial to be a politician once all these laws are completed. So as long as they still exist there can be no reconciliation. No Reconciliation -No RV ! Get it ?
So you see how delicate, interwoven and maybe even use the word complicated to describe it all. It is not all that simple to just RV when you want to RV. There is a lot going on yet to resolve and fix.
In my last news letter (LINK) I talked about many of these needed laws and presented timelines being given to us by the government of Iraq. So today and going forward I will continue to give you updates on these timelines.
I suspect these timelines will be adjusted as time goes on and we need to track them. Once we see progress in these needed laws, progress with ISIS and DAASH in Mosul then we will see the Reconciliation being molded to conclusion like a ball of clay being molded by its potter. As we move more into January I have no doubt the news about currency reform will once again heat up as it will be then time for the CBI to address it and begin the process to delete the zeros again.
JUDICIAL AUTHORITY ISSUED AN EXPLANATION FOR THE GENERAL AMNESTY LAW
Iraqi security guards outside the main door of the Central Prison Baghdad -
Twilight News / Federal Authority confirmed that it is not the role of the general amnesty the controversial law, to Avnh that the government is one of the submitted a draft law to parliament.
The judge said Abdul Sattar Bayrakdar spokesman for the judiciary in an interview with Lord of Twilight News, "The Council of Ministers is of the submission of the draft general amnesty law."
Bayraktar said that "the project and according to our information exists in the House of Representatives responsible for the approval," adding that "the power Federal Judicial no role in the enactment of the law.
"He added that" the role of the Supreme Judicial Council was confined to form a committee made observations about the law. "
And who is due to the Iraqi parliament voted on the amnesty law next Tuesday, after the amendments and postponing lasted for more than a parliamentary session.
PARLIAMENTARY LEGAL: AMNESTY WILL BE LAUNCHED AT THE BEGINNING OF FEBRUARY AND THE FEDERAL COURT IS DISABLED BECAUSE OF KURDS
Tomorrow Press / Baghdad: announced the Legal Committee in the House of Representatives by a sound Shawki, on Wednesday, said the general amnesty law completed all his readings and discussions and vote by the parliament at the beginning of next February, while pointed out that disabled the Federal Court Act for the Kurdistan Alliance. He said Shawki's "
Tomorrow's Press," "THE AMNESTY LAW HAS COMPLETED ALL HIS READINGS AND DEBATES AS WELL, AND WE ARE ONLY WAITING FOR THE VIEWS OF THE POLITICAL BLOCS ON THE PROVISIONS OF THE AMNESTY UNTIL THE LEGAL COMMITTEE BE ASSEMBLED AND THEN RE-DRAFTING OF THE LAW AND VOTE FOR IT," adding that "the issue of the resolution of the amnesty law would be at the beginning February next. "He continued,"
THE FEDERAL COURT ACT ALSO COMPLETED OUR READINGS OF LAW AND DEBATES AND VIEWS ON IT, AND REMAINED ONE ISSUE PENDING A COURT MEETING AND VOTE IN THE COURT, "noting that" the majority opinion says that the court meeting is two thirds and vote on decisions also the consensus of the two-thirds , but contrary to the Kurdish side view and wants the court meeting also unanimously and unanimous vote.
"He said Shawki that" blocs objected to the opinion of the Kurds and promised to disable the role of the Court, Aftrhawwa opinion, another to be the voice of the President of the Court and his deputy within two-thirds, because one of the Vice-President will be Kurdish " . He pointed out that "their opinion this also he did not find acceptable, but that it is still in dispute, but during the next legislative term will be to resolve all differences on the law," likely that "during which the vote on the laws amnesty and the Court."
He continued by legal Allhnh that "THERE ARE DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THE GUARD LAW, BUT IT'S MORE COMPLICATED, AND REQUIRE A LARGE POLITICAL CONSENSUS."
Here is the article earlier from in the week.
LEGAL REPRESENTATIVE: 3 LAWS READY TO VOTE IN THE NEW LEGISLATIVE TERM, INCLUDING THE AMNESTY LAW
Parliamentary Legal Committee announced that the new legislative term will vote on three important laws in the forefront of a project of the Federal Court Act.
A member of the Committee to Morshedi: "There is a set of laws has first and second reading and completed discussions on them between the blocs and parliamentary committees and you just need to vote in agreement with the leaders of the blocks."
"The ready-made laws of the vote is the Federal Court and the Federal Service and amnesty, as well as a draft e-Crime Bill and the Drugs and Psychotropic Substances Law."
He pointed out, "it was narrowing differences in the Federal Court Act except for paragraph 12 of the draft law concerning the quorum convene and vote on decisions of the Court."
"The general amnesty law is still under discussion for the study of the compatibility of the draft law with constitutional provisions and then introduced to a vote," noting that "the parliamentary Commission included a proposal for the inclusion of liquor within the project Drug and Psychotropic Substances Act, which is currently prepared with the Committee on Health and Environment in Parliament."
Morshedi pointed out that "the inclusion of liquor that the draft law came as psychotropic substances according to the opinion of the Committee on Health and the Environment of the proposal adopted by a number of deputies," pointing out that "the House vote to adopt that view will make the liquor is prohibited by law."
Next let us talk about the Customs and Tariffs law.
Link to PART 2