Post From Currency Chatter
JD Blue : I know I don't need to remind everyone... but it was MALIKI who ignored the Kurds warnings that Isis was coming... ignored the Sunni's who told Baghdad that Isis was infiltrating and they were going to attack. Maliki used Daash in order to create a crisis in the hopes of declaring Martial Law and stopping the election he was about to lose. If I had to pick out one word for these murderous thugs... that word would be. DESPICABLE.
hi-five : is a crackpot, delusional, paranoid predator who is about to "retire" in a much different environment than London. And his buddy will probably be his room mate. If he does try to leave Iraq, the authorities will know where he is, and when the timing is right, they will arrest him - - unless he goes to Iran. If that happens, it will be more difficult. But, I'm assuming Iran is smart enough to know that if they help Maliki, Iraq will cut them off.
Tlar: hi-five, I have said the same thing recently. Iran is no longer a safe haven for Maliki or Shahristani.
Iran if asked to give these two up would have to comply or the new government in Iraq would see this as a major afront to their relationship. Iran most likely would not let either in or immediately ask them to leave if they showed up. Iran is becoming very sensitive to their biggest trading partner.
At this time I personally believe that they are trying everything they can to keep from being totally locked out of Iraqi politics as they see that the new government is leaning to the west more and more. The old relationship under the Maliki government where Iran called the shots, is all but gone.
The death knoll was the removal of all the corrupt ministers that secretly took their orders from Maliki either because he originally corrupted them through blackmail,or they just were corruptable and needed nothing but money to do the trick.
The removal of these folks will be complete once the new ministers are in place and they start to replace the guys below them, many of which also took their marching orders directly from Maliki.
This is the main reason Maliki is thinking of going to Britain. He sees the writing on the wall. He has lost all conttrol. Change is around the corner and if he is smart, he needs to get out of dodge before "big heads fall".
If Iran is smart and I think they are, they should start to appease this new government and work closely with it to try to regain any influence they can, rather than continue to fight the change.
We have seen some of this in that they are mostly honoring Iraq wishes, in asking the popular crowd, which they mostly controlled, to answer now only to the Abadi government.
Iran has alot to loose if they try to fight this change and they understand that. Iraq is their largest trading partner and Iraq is considered Shiite controlled, and in the eyes of Iran it is the third leg in athe Shiite crescent. Iran cannot let this relationship deteriorate any further.
Syria is the other part of this crescent and we know what a mess that country is. So IMO Iran has little option but to work with the change and the new government.
They have to realize now that they have lost their momentum and that change is coming to the ME, and that change is mainly coming from western influence now.
Early on, Iran was the one to foment the stoppage of Iraq becoming a blooming democracy through meddling and with the assisstance of the Maliki government. Maliki was trying to make Iraq a dictatorship with him as the dictator answering only to Iran.
I believe we have crossed the turning point and Iraq will become a free market and a full fledged democracy as it was envisioned in 2003. Iran will have to learn to accept a Shiite led democracy right next door.
This democracy once set up and running will ultimately spill over the borders and make Iran's biggest fears realized as their own people begin to question their rights and freedoms. Recently the reformists in Iran scored big gains in the elections.
Iran has inked the nuclear deal which would have been unheard of a couple of years ago. Whether this is a good deal or bad is debatable but the reality is, Iran agreed to international inspections. Iran is a closed society so this in itself is remarkable. Change is coming fast to the ME. All just opinion, tlar