Post From Wealthwatch.world Chat Room
Wealthwatch Chat Room News Excerpts & Comments 6-13-16
chattels: Alex M. Retweeted Reuters UK @ReutersUK 12h12 hours ago Iraqi forces gain ground against Islamic State south of Mosul reut.rs/28u7IWf
chattels: Iraq 4,000 flee Fallujah through safe corridor By Rudaw
chattels: We expect thousands more to be able to leave in the coming days,”
chattels: More than 20,000 people have been able to escape the city since the offensive began in late May, very few of them from the city of the centre. The United Nations estimates that up to 90,000 may still be trapped.
chattels: ISIS is losing battles, but has yet to lose the war wealthwatch.world/showthr...
Doug_W: it takes loosing battles to get to the END of the war
chattels: To defer consideration of a lawsuit to challenge the constitutionality of two sessions of the House of Representatives and 28 of the current month
chattels: " experts asked Amhalam until the 26th of this month for the purpose of presenting their report, " alluding to " postpone session to day 28 of the same month for this reason. "
chattels: parliamentary legal committee member said that the Federal Court is stalling in the case
chattels: " the Federal Court is trying to distance itself from the resolution of the issue of Parliament do not even counted it with a party or against another party and this is a stance is not justified by the Federal Court because their presence resolving these differences of interest to the fate of the country and the political process in Iraq. "
chattels: " ............... the repeated postponement weakens confidence in the court and also gives the impression that the court wants to distance itself from solving this big problem in Iraq. "
chattels: Absent a decision from the Federal Court on Jubbouri's presidency of Pariament I would say that the chances of an emergency session of Parliament are next to nil. Of course, as I have reported, the purpose of any emergency session is very limited and we were not going to see any real progress on reform or the important laws / legislation during Ramadan or until the next session of Parliament, if then.
The next " PRODUCTIVE " session of Parliament is likely following the Eid al Fitr Holiday ( three days ) on or about July 7, approximately."
chattels: NOTE : THERE IS SOME INFORMATION THAT PARLIAMENT WILL RECONVENE ON THE 1ST OF JULY, BUT ........... THE FIRST OF JULY IS A FRIDAY, THEIR HOLY DAY ???????????????
chattels: It appears that ISF remain on the outskirts of the city of Fallujah.
chattels: Mohammed Saleh, said on Monday that " the agreement with the IMF is going as planned."
OOTW: FROM THE HORROR THAT HAPPENS TO (UNFORTUNATELY) BE HUMAN, MALIKI AND HIS CRONIES
OOTW: Maliki: political forces that want to keep the situation as it is until the election BAGHDAD / .. accused the coalition of state law, led by Nuri al-Maliki, Sunday, political forces that want to stay on the political situation as it is until the new elections, noting that Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi front with quotas.
The leader of the coalition, Mohammed Chihod's "Eye of Iraq News," "The voter them new ministers are associated with the resurrection of Saddam and other professionals in their work and they came through the quota system," explaining that "the sacked ministers most efficient of the new ministers and proved themselves worthy through their work for nearly two years." .
And the MP for the Reform Front, "Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi with the front of quotas because they want his survival in office and not with the real fundamental reforms," adding that "the recent crisis triggered by political forces in order to keep the situation as it is until the new elections."
And Tchehdt Baghdad political crisis following the announcement of the Prime Minister make a cabinet reshuffle under the technocrats .anthy 9 title
OOTW: MEANWHILE THE JUDICIARY HAS AGAIN POSTPONED THE TRIAL RE THE CONSTITUTIONALITY OF THE CONTESTED PARLIAMENT SESSIONS
OOTW: I FEEL NAUSEATED BY THE COMBINATION OF EVENTS
OOTW: AGAIN, WE JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS WITH THIS
OOTW: WE KNOW THAT THE IMF/UN/WB HAVE STATED THAT ABADI HAS TO DEAL WITH THE CORRUPTION AS WELL AS THE STABILITY OF THE GOVT
OOTW: WE'VE ALSO SEEN AT LEAST ONE MEMBER FROM THESE INSTITUTIONS VISITING WITH HEAD OF THE SJC, MAHMOUD
OOTW: IT IS MY OPINION THAT IF MAHMOUD DOES NOT WANT TO RISK PROSECUTION, OR AT THE LEAST, DIMINISH ANY POTENTIAL, FORTHCOMING LEGAL PROCEDINGS, THAT HE WILL COOPERATE WITH THE EXISTING IRAQI GOVT
OOTW: THE FACT THAT THIS HEARING CONTINUES TO GET POSTPONED, CAN GO, AGAIN, IMHO, ONE WAY OR THE OTHER
rocknrollbus: ‹@OOTW› Maybe Mahmoud is more afraid of Maliki than the PTB???
chattels: Conclusions :chattels: https://www.scribd.com/fullscreen/315588337
chattels: Abadi’s experience as Iraq’s prime minister teaches us an important lesson: Changing the prime minister without changing the paradigm of and formula for governance in Iraq has not yielded signicant results. The ethno-sectarian paradigm now prevailing in Iraq will keep limiting the prime minister’s room for maneuver, while depriving him of the leverage necessary to initiate major reforms.
The prime minister’s political effectiveness depends on his ability to create a consensus around his policies, or else to impose his own options if a consensus cannot be achieved.
This is why both Maliki and Abadi sought ways to build autonomous political constituencies. Maliki did this by exploiting sectarianism and patronage to consolidate his support base within his Shia community, which in the end further polarized Iraqi politics and made it difficult to bridge the gap between communities
chattels: Changing the prime minister without changing the paradigm of and formula for governance in Iraq has not yielded significant results.
chattels: The ethno-sectarian paradigm now prevailing in Iraq will keep limiting the prime minister’s room for maneuver, while depriving him of the leverage necessary to initiate major reforms.
chattels: The prime minister’s political effectiveness depends on his ability to create a consensus around his policies, or else to impose his own options if a consensus cannot be achieved.
chattels: Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk 2h2 hours ago Kirk H. Sowell Retweeted Harith al-Qarawee If you don't read @harith_hasan's new paper evaluating Abadi's premiership, you will be a total loser in life.
chattels: Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk 10h10 hours ago Why does Abadi keep thinking he can just take over the govt? He has no electoral base, was elected by factional consensus.
chattels: Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk 10h10 hours ago And Abadi keeps making the same mistake. It is like he has a political blind-spot, doesn't realize there will always be reaction v. him.
chattels: Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk 10h10 hours ago Abadi's response to FinanceMin Hoshyar Zebari's rejection - strong on "reform" rhetoric; weak on legal argument. LINK
chattels: Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk 10h10 hours ago I'll note here that Abadi only made legal quorum in the cabinet again after the 3 Kurdish ministers returned. He is in a very weak position.
chattels: The necessary conclusion is that Iraq’s main problems are systemic and related to the way the whole political system is structured. A Shia prime minister like Abadi needs to command a broad constituency that is loyal to and supportive of him in order to make the concessions and compromises that a new political compact would require.
Abadi, although armed with good intentions and the desire to make a difference, lacks such a constituency and, as a result, has not been able to make those changes.
chattels: " ................ despite improvements in his style of governing, Abadi could not make a signicant alteration regarding major political issues, especially those pertaining to relations with the Kurish and the Sunni groups, constitutional reforms and political and security arrangements in the war against ISIS. "
chattels: In the increasingly polarized Iraqi political climate, Abadi, indecisive and lacking the tools to implement solutions to Iraq’s problems, might be the next victim of the country’s dysfunctional system.
chattels: al-Abadi told the political blocs to postpone the swearing-in of new ministers until the end of the battle of Fallujah and the parliamentary crisis
chattels: " the prime minister still insist on the completion of the amendment in government cabin, but there are political obstacles still list and difficult to overcome."
chattels: " the prime minister told the political blocs to postpone all those belongings until the end of the military to liberate the city of Fallujah operations, and the announcement of the Federal Court decision, for the return of the healing of the parliament. "
chattels: There is the possibility that the parliamentary crisis could be resolved by agreement of the political blocs which would obviate the need for a judicial determination. Certainly " healing " is important even if the crisis must be resolved by the Federal Court therefore it is preferable for the political blocs to make a constructive resolution by agreement.
There is news today that the high court may be procrastinating on a decision to allow / encourage just such and end or new beginning and resumption of reform measures. Court decisions empower the " winner " and alienate the " looser ". Iraq needs a consensus for reform born of a common vision and purpose in the near and longer term.
Whether Fallujah will be fully liberated in the next several weeks is another question. The ISF appear to still be " stuck " on the outskirts and neighborhoods of the city centre. Many observers believe that the hardest fighting remains to be done in urban Fallujah.
There are reports of considerable civilians remaining in " downtown " Fallujah and the land mines / booby traps may be more severe at the center of town.
My conclusion is that it is very unlikely that there will be any parliamentary business accomplished until at the earliest in July. Is parliamentary approval necessary to meet the conditions attendant to the IMF loans ? Not sure. We wait and see. Nothing is certain in Iraq.
chattels: Market value of the IQD at the CBI held today at 1,258 on reduced volume of sales of the USD